Archive for the ‘ Iraq/Afghanistan/Pakistan ’ Category

What to Make of Greg Palast’s Latest About Afghanistan?

Greg Palast site

This guy is so far out it is hard to know what to make of him. But then people probably say the same about me. Maybe we are both right on – and the rest of the world is far out.

Now he is writing about Afghanistan – and I think he has something to say – even if the way he is saying it takes some getting used to.

Screwy things are going on there – that’s for sure. And Americans should be asking their government (or what passes for their government) what the hell is going on there – in the middle of nowhere.

He sheds some light on this. If you have the time (always a problem) take the time to read it.

Common Sense and the Drones

Tom Paine wrote the pamphlet Common Sense which had a big effect on America as it was forming. We are now in a similar situation – only the foolishness we have to be saved from now is very much a part of us.

I was an aviation buff for a long time – and had my own airplanes that I spent much of my money on. Eventually I traded them for a wife – who cost me even more – but also taught me a lot more – about myself.

I can only marvel at the latest drones – they are a technological miracles. But, as technical miracles tend to do – they have messed up our thinking.

According to their supporters – they allow us to see everything that is going on – and kill the bad guys – while they can do nothing to us. They make us all-knowing and all-powerful. Capable of killing the Devil on command.

But let us use some common sense here. The amount of information flowing in from these high-altitude flights is staggering. If it would take one full-time expert to analyze the activity of 1000 people below him – a ratio that seems reasonable to me - this means a lot of experts. Where would they come from?

“No problem,” the experts answer – all this data would be analyzed automatically – and very little human input would be required. It would identify the bad guys and where they are. The President could then select them from his list – and kill them. As he is doing right now.

Automated warfare would happen – with us in complete control!

Except all of this is a pipe-dream – a fantasy. Some information could be gleaned from high-altitude videos. But most would have to come the old-fashioned way – from informers. And you can be sure we have plenty of them – with little ability to know how reliable they are.

There is no substitute for human intelligence. And, as always, military intelligence is an oxymoron.

Why America Did Not Grab Iraq’s Oil

Greg Palast

I had never been able to figure this out. Until Palast dropped this in my inbox. Here are his important parts, culled from his purple prose:

I was uncovering that the US oil industry was using its full political mojo to prevent their being handed ownership of Iraq’s oil fields.  That’s right: The oil companies did NOT want to own the oil fields – and they sure as hell did not want the oil. Just the opposite. They wanted to make sure there would be a limit on the amount of oil that would come out of Iraq.

There was no way in hell that Baker’s clients, from Exxon to Abdullah, were going to let a gaggle of neo-con freaks smash up Iraq’s oil industry, break OPEC production quotas, flood the market with six million barrels of Iraqi oil a day and thereby knock its price back down to $13 a barrel where it was in 1998.

And that’s how George Bush won the war in Iraq. The invasion was not about “blood for oil”, but something far more sinister: blood for no oil. War to keep supply tight and send prices skyward.

Oil men, whether James Baker or George Bush or Dick Cheney, are not in the business of producing oil. They are in the business of producing profits.

And they’ve succeeded. Iraq, capable of producing six to 12 million barrels of oil a day, still exports well under its old OPEC quota of three million barrels.

The result: As we mark the tenth anniversary of the invasion this month, we also mark the fifth year of crude at $100 a barrel.

Makes sense!

But you won’t see this on your friendly television station.

Afghanistan: The Way to Peace

New York Review

Empires have never been concerned in the least with their impact on other countries. This is what empire amounts to – the right do what you want – at the expense of other people. And America has been an empire for a long time, ever since it took much of its territory from Mexico – and before that, from the Indians.

The recent switch to trade agreements is an improvement because they are much less expensive – militaries have always cost a lot of money. It is cheaper to make a deal the rich of these countries – or, better yet – make them part of a global economy that you control.

But countries such as Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan had nothing worth taking. Iraq had oil, and plenty of it – but America never latched onto it – for reasons I have never understood.

These weak countries were only good for making the American public feel powerful – at the expense of the people they humiliated. When these undertakings failed – as they always did – due to the nature of asymmetrical warfare – America was left with a problem. How to get out? Which depended on the question – how did we get in?

These books answer these questions – in some detail.  But Americans (including myself) are not likely to take the time to read them. The Obama administration knows this – and will probably be even less interested than we are in understanding the situation. It will continue to do what it always has done – lie about what they are doing. And ignoring what they are doing to the people most directly involved.

Here is a quote:

As to the use of the word “endgame,” this might be appropriate if next year, upon the departure of US ground forces, the entire Afghan population, overcome with sorrow at the loss of their beloved allies, rolls over and dies on the spot.

The least we could do is read this review – but no one reads anymore. They watch movies. And a movie about this is not likely.

Americans want to feel good – and there is nothing in Afghanistan for them to feel good about.

Bacevich on Wolfowitz

Harper’s Magazine (entire article only for subscribers)

The title of the article in the March issue of Harper’s, on page 48, is A Letter to Paul Wolforwitz – Occasioned by the tenth anniversary of the Iraq War. The Author is Andrew J. Bacevich, a military man who has reemerged as a academic and a political writer.

I like the writer part best – there are plenty of guys who have plenty of ideas, some of them very good ones – who cannot write their way out of a wet paper bag.

Here is a sample of the article, where it speaks of the Defense Planning Guidance (DPG) of 1992, which Wolforwitz helped write:

The draft DPG announced that it had become the “first objective” of U.S. Policy “to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival.” With an eye toward “deterring potential competitors from even aspiring to a larger regional or global role,” the United States would maintain unquestioned military superiority and, if necessary, employ force unilaterally. As window dressing, allies might look nice, but the United States no longer considered them necessary.

Unfortunately, you and your team assigned to draft the DPG had miscalculated the administration’s support for your thinking. This was not the time to be unfurling grandiose ambitions expressed in indelicate language.

What I like about this article is two things – how clever it is, and how useful it is. America has indeed become enamored of war – as he says in his book How Americans are Seduced by War.

And as I keep saying – Americans have become nobodies – but violent nobodies.

Pakistan on Valentine’s Day

NY Times

In November, the Pakistan Telecommunications Authority ordered mobile phone service providers to discontinue cheap, late-night calling rates, arguing that these special packages promoted “vulgarity” and went against “social norms” by enabling teenagers to spend hours on the phone with their boyfriends and girlfriends…

And Valentine’s Day has its champions, too. “Don’t let the billboards or the flyers or the questionable posts on Facebook fool you — Karachi is, and always has been, a breeding ground for lovers,” read a reassuring post on a Facebook page. Just hours after being uploaded, it had been shared nearly 200 times.

India and the American Way

ZNet – We Call This Progress, by Arundhati Roy

We don’t hear much about what is going on in India – in contrast to all the stuff we get about China. This is strange, because India and the West have always been closely linked. Half of the engineers in Silicon Valley are from India – and its religious influence is strong also. I had a yoga teacher there whose husband was a successful engineer in the Valley – and that was not uncommon at all.

But as India becomes more like America, America is ignoring this important development – while giving enormous attention (and money) to Pakistan and Afghanistan. American foreign policy makes no sense.

From the article:

I’ll start in the early 1990s, not long after capitalism won its war against Soviet Communism in the bleak mountains of Afghanistan. The Indian government, which was for many years one of the leaders of the nonaligned movement, suddenly became a completely aligned country and began to call itself the natural ally of the U.S. and Israel. It opened up its protected markets to global capital.

American businessmen should be positively ecstatic about this! But instead, they play it down in the American Media, which weakens India’s economic position and keeps it subservient to America’s.

Arundhati Roy is a flaming liberal, frequently appearing with our own Noam Chomsky, but what they say is often worth hearing. For example:

In India, every institution, whether it’s the courts, or the parliament, or the press—has been hollowed out and harnessed to the free market. There are empty rituals to mask what actually happens, which is that India continues to militarize, it continues to become a police state. In the last twenty years, after we embraced the free market, two hundred and fifty thousand farmers have committed suicide, because they have been driven into debt. This has never happened in human history before. Yet, obviously when the establishment has a choice between suicide farmers and suicide bombers, you know which ones they are going to encourage. They don’t mind that statistic, because it helps them; they feel sorry, they make a few noises, but they keep doing what they are doing.

Today, India has more people than all the poorest countries of Africa put together. It has 80 percent of its population living on less than twenty rupees a day, which is less than fifty cents a day. That is the atmosphere in which the resistance movements are operating.

Of course, it has a media—I don’t know any other country with so many news channels, all of them sponsored or directly owned by corporations, including mining corporations and infrastructure corporations. The vast majority of all news is funded by corporate advertising, so you can imagine what’s going on with that. The prime minister of the world’s largest democracy, Manmohan Singh, who was more or less installed by the IMF, has never won an election in his life. He stood for one election and lost, but after that he was just placed there. He’s the person who, when he was finance minister, actually dismantled all the laws and allowed global capital into India.

“What are infrastructure corporations?” I asked. So I looked up infrastructure on Wikipedia, which has a general discussion of the subject. Construction Week is more specific for India – these are construction companies, pure and simple. And for them, business is good!

All over the world, the effects of Globalization are becoming clearer and clearer – the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.

Her description of the Maoist Corridor is the kind of writing that makes respectable Indians furious with her. But I suspect there is much truth in what she says – that terrorism is the result of the rich discriminating against the poor – and anyone else who is different.

My favorite whipping boy has been the Computer, something Arundhati Roy, and people like her, never consider. They never stop to think what is behind all this, pulling all the strings. They just look at the puppets, and scream at them. Unless you look at the Big Picture (how everything is tied together) you cannot see anything.

We could use the computer to do this, since it can deal with enormous quantities of data – but we would have to decide to do this – to make the computer serve us.

The Battle for Haditha

I just watched this movie on a DVD from NetFlix. And I was horrified by it.

At the same time, I knew most Americans (including my family) were unaffected by it – but went on baking their Christmas cookies.

Wikipedia has the followup story – where all the American soldiers eventually got off easily. And the top brass, who directed the killings from afar, suffered nothing.

Foreign Wars

America is in decline, everyone agrees on that – the only disagreement is why, and what to do about it. I will address neither of these questions, at least not directly, but only point out a parallel between the late Roman Empire and the present American Empire.

No doubt I will raise a few hackles by referring to an American Empire, but that is what Globalization amounts too – a global economy with America as one of its primary actors. This is not what Americans want, they want to turn the clock back to 1950, when we were the most powerful nation in history, with the possible exception of the USSR. But the clock only runs one way – and we have to play the ball where it lies now, in the rough.

America’s solution is the same as Rome’s – foreign wars. The logic here must also be unconscious – perhaps the attempt to overcome internal weakness with a show of external military force. And, as in the case of Rome – it is not working.

This is not hard to see, and should trigger a response to fix things closer to home. But this is impossible – just as it was for the Romans.

Here again, this is not hard to see – but we can only see it dimly, and not clearly enough to act on it. Let me amplify on that – the problem is in ourselves, and our emotional and mental incompetence.

I must push even further, and ask “Why this incompetence?” And finally I have an answer, but one few will comprehend – “Because Americans no longer exist!” And this observation is what separates the men from the boys – or the girls from the women.

This observation is nothing new. T.S. Elliot wrote The Hollow Men in 1925. But this important poem has been overlooked by the Contemporary Poetry movement in America – for reasons that baffle me. Perhaps because it is too relevant, and poetry has worked at being irrelevant and insular. There were good reasons for doing this, but they can be rightly accused of cowardliness – along with nearly everyone else.

It takes a strong person to spit into the wind – and perhaps it is useless, because the spit ends up on your own face. Cicero was a good example – but at least he made an enormous contribution, and was fondly remembered in history.

Contemporary Americans have no interest in history. And, as I have already said – they have already faded from sight.

Addicted to Hate

I keep searching for something that will explain everything – or at least a big part of everything. And it seems to me that hatred explains a lot.

Hatred is a subtle emotion that can become addictive. We do not realize how dangerous it is, or how common it has become. Love, by contrast, has become difficult – and even seems dangerous.

I spent some time reading the Sept 27 issue of the New York Review. Keeping up with this is an education in itself – but a pleasant education, since you can chose what to read.

Although I get a preview of every issue sent to me online, I still get more out of looking at paper, marker pen in hand. But the online version (you need a subscription to view the whole thing) does allow you to make copies of text you want to refer to. Such as this from The Return of ‘The Runaway General’

Many journalists and commentators have predicted that war will break out once the Americans leave [Afghanistan]. The simple but startling outcome of the NATO summit in Chicago in May was that there is apparently no “Plan B.” Every source I have consulted has made it clear that there are no contingency plans if the promised withdrawal of Western forces by 2014 becomes very difficult to carry out; if US and NATO efforts to stabilize and strengthen the Afghan regime fail; if efforts to reduce rising ethnic tensions between the Pashtuns and non-Pashtuns are unsuccessful; if the 350,000-strong Afghan army and police do not hold together; if neighboring states like Pakistan and Iran step up their battle for influence; and if Pakistan does not stop giving sanctuary to the Taliban. A lot of things have to go right before the withdrawal can be seen as successful. On the other hand, only a few things have to go wrong to turn it into a debacle.

Do Americans care? No, most Americans do not read the Review. They are satisfied with hating the Taliban – even though they have no idea what it is. If some magical way were available to eliminate Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Iran (plus a few other Islamic trouble-makers) instantly – Americans would not hesitate to demand its use.

I hesitate to recommend the next article The Tragedy if the European Union and How to Resolve It, by George Soros because it is so long. I think it would be reasonable to state that the formation of the EU was a matter of love (self-love, perhaps, but still love) and its destruction is a matter of hate – or at least a disinterest on the part of the rich countries of the EU for the poor countries.

Perhaps the EU had benevolent intentions when it admitted these countries – perhaps. But it did not realize what problems this would entail. And once these problems became apparent, it (mainly Germany, that is) could not resolve them – largely because it didn’t want to.

Now for the book It’s Even Worse Than It Looks: How the American Constitutional System Collided with the New Politics of Extremism. Here again, Americans are not interested. This is about reality, and they are no longer interested in that:

As they say, the “the most powerful potential leverage in any democracy is the ability of the citizenry to ‘throw the bums out,’” but the reality is that “during difficult times such as the present, [voters] tend to broadly condemn Washington or Congress, which is more likely to reinforce the structural dynamics that produce gridlock than to generate a constructive call to action.”

The prose is too academic for my taste, but I cannot argue with its conclusion.

China comes in for its share of attention too, in China’s Lost Decade. China was once regarded as the country that could do no wrong (economically, at least) – but now seems to be doing everything wrong.

And closer to home Mexico at War. My family has close ties to Mexico, we used drive there all the way from Illinois for every year-end vacation. It was a nice place to vacation then, and I developed a deep liking for the people.

I can hardly believe how bad it is now – only fifty years later! And much the same could be said about Guatemala and Honduras. Their problems are partly their own – but they were made much worse by their big neighbor to the north.

America was not interested in helping them – only in using them. This attitude cannot be described as hatred – but was something close to it.

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