Archive for the ‘ Science ’ Category

Cause and Effect

This simple idea was one of the foundations of the Modern world. And one of the most important events in the formation of that World was the Reformation – and the Protestantism that resulted from it.

We cannot now imagine the fervor and violence of the civil and religious wars that followed. And how Science was formed by them. You heard me right – religion, politics, and science were formed from the same mold. From the same world-view. From Wikipedia:

comprehensive world view (or worldview) is the fundamental cognitive orientation of an individual or society encompassing the entirety of the individual or society’s knowledge and point-of-view, including natural philosophy; fundamental, existential, and normative postulates; or themes, values, emotions, and ethics.[1] The term is a calque of the German word Weltanschauung[ˈvɛlt.ʔanˌʃaʊ.ʊŋ] ( listen), composed of Welt (‘world’) and Anschauung (‘view’ or ‘outlook’).[2] It is a concept fundamental to German philosophy and epistemology and refers to a wide world perception. Additionally, it refers to the framework of ideas and beliefs through which an individual, group or culture interprets the world and interacts with it.

In my mind’s eye I can see my Grandfather repeating  ”Cause and Effect!” over and over in Prayer Meeting, back in the Fifties, while he rocked himself up on his toes to make himself taller. He knew how important it was – it was the foundation of his world –  although he could not have explained it in the least.  His was a world of powerful beliefs – and that was enough for him.

As it turned out, this particular belief had reached its peak, and would decline during my lifetime (long after he was dead) – but of course he did not know that. Few people have recognized this decline since then – and most absolutely refuse to recognize it.

In fact, I am having a hard time formulating the nature of what I am trying to say. How we came to believe in a world of separate chains of events. The key word here is separate.  The belief that things could happen in one part of the world without effecting the rest of the world. The model is the billiard-table – where the original mover (a man holding a cue-stick) sets in motion a series of independent events on a perfectly level surface.

In remote parts of Latin America, where people can afford very little. You will find the people (men only, please) playing billiards – and playing it passionately.

The basic idea behind all this was a divide-and-conquer strategy – as Caesar clearly enunciated. And which was the downfall of the Roman Empire. It seemed to be the road to unlimited power – but in reality, it was the path to total collapse. A collapse we are also seeing in our own time – as Colonialism is collapsing.

The reason for this is simple enough. The world is not complicated (composed of many independent separate events) that can be broken apart and analyzed separately.  It is complex (where everything effects everything else).

I am tempted to go into Complexity Theory (a very important discovery) but that would be too much of a digression. Take it from me – it is a big deal, and represents a break from the past. Just as the Computer represents a break with the past. But in both cases unacknowledged breaks.

It is possible to find things that can be analyzed and exploited separately (in the manner of a laboratory experiment). And this kind of exploitation is what made the Industrial Revolution such a success. The discovery of oil – and seemingly unlimited power – drove people completely crazy.

But, as we are finding out, there is no free lunch. And everything is linked to everything else.

I have relatives (distant relatives, it is true) who are in the oil business in Texas. All of their oil wells were running dry – until fracking was discovered. Now they are ecstatic - they are rich! A mad scramble is on to frack as much and as fast as possible.

No one – and I mean no one – is saying “What do we do when the oil runs out?” The answer seems to be “Who cares? We will solve that problem when we get to it!”

This assumes that the problem can be solved – and solved easily. When every indication is to the contrary. There are plenty of situations where there is no way out – and we seem to be in one of those.

Truth is Whatever Makes Us Feel Good

Science is no longer popular – but scientists have been unable to understand the reason for this. They know people no longer like them, but they cannot understand why.

I think is is simple. People liked Science because Industrialization (which they associated with Science) made them rich.

But Industrialization has run out of steam (quite literally) and people blame Science for this. When it is completely innocent. Other things have happened that people – in their massive ignorance, have been not been aware of at all.

I am taking an online course in Philosophy, and this week’s subject is Science. Unfortunately, the lecturer is a young woman with a heavy Indian accent  I can hardly understand. But the slides for her talk are here. Science is the search for truth and although this definition has been modified, it is still a good first approximation.

Unfortunately, people in general are not interested in truth – only in power (which includes money). And this power is fading. For the simple reason that we are running out of oil.

But this is not the whole story. People have changed too, as I said in People Have Changed. They are no longer interested in reality – this seems unimportant to them. They are only interested in whatever makes them feel good.

And what makes them feel good is to destroy everything – including themselves. This is a strange situation, to say the least, and I cannot explain it. Only observe it – like ancient men looked at the stars – and tried to understand them.

But the understanding came much later.

The Riddle of the Human Species

Edward O. Wilson in the NY Times

The Times gets some excellent articles by authors pushing their newest book. It also has some caustic reviews of some new books – just to give a proper balance.

In this case, Mr. Wilson, an eminent scholar, gets to explain his latest theory very capably. His argument, it seems to me, is bullet-proof. And is another one of those things everyone should know – but, due to our present negative development, is ignored completely. People do not want to know about themselves – or anything else.

This theory is an excellent example of how a small minority is advanced – and the vast majority are not. And not only that – are determined to to destroy their species. However, this is my theory, and I will return to Mr. Wilson’s:

The social intelligence of the campsite-anchored prehumans evolved as a kind of non-stop game of chess. Today, at the terminus of this evolutionary process, our immense memory banks are smoothly activated across the past, present, and future. They allow us to evaluate the prospects and consequences variously of alliances, bonding, sexual contact, rivalries, domination, deception, loyalty and betrayal. We instinctively delight in the telling of countless stories about others as players upon the inner stage. The best of it is expressed in the creative arts, political theory, and other higher-level activities we have come to call the humanities…

The roles of both individual and group selection are indelibly stamped (to borrow a phrase from Charles Darwin) upon our social behavior. As expected, we are intensely interested in the minutiae of behavior of those around us. Gossip is a prevailing subject of conversation, everywhere from hunter-gatherer campsites to royal courts. The mind is a kaleidoscopically shifting map of others, each of whom is drawn emotionally in shades of trust, love, hatred, suspicion, admiration, envy and sociability. We are compulsively driven to create and belong to groups, variously nested, overlapping or separate, and large or small. Almost all groups compete with those of similar kind in some manner or other. We tend to think of our own as superior, and we find our identity within them.

Reading this should turn people on. But it will be lost in the noise of our Information Economy.

How Drug Company Money Is Undermining Science

Scientific American

I have to give Scientific American credit  - they have made their online version easier to use, and they have taken on a powerful industry.

Here are some quotes:

The scandal is not what Lindsay did so much as that his case is typical. In the past few years the pharmaceutical industry has come up with many ways to funnel large sums of money—enough sometimes to put a child through college—into the pockets of independent medical researchers who are doing work that bears, directly or indirectly, on the drugs these firms are making and marketing. The problem is not just with the drug companies and the researchers but with the whole system—the granting institutions, the research labs, the journals, the professional societies, and so forth. No one is providing the checks and balances necessary to avoid conflicts. Instead organizations seem to shift responsibility from one to the other, leaving gaps in enforcement that researchers and drug companies navigate with ease, and then shroud their deliberations in secrecy.

“There isn’t a single sector of academic medicine, academic research or medical education in which industry relationships are not a ubiquitous factor,” says sociologist Eric Campbell, a professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School. Those relationships are not all bad. After all, without the help of the pharmaceutical industry, medical researchers would not be able to turn their ideas into new drugs. Yet at the same time, Campbell argues, some of these liaisons co-opt scientists into helping sell pharmaceuticals rather than generating new knowledge.

Sound familiar?

He does not mention something even more important – practically speaking, there is not much we can do about this – or many, many other things.

We have been trapped by progress.

Truth or Reputation?

I continue to read the excellent book The Righteous Mind. He is telling people things they don’t want to hear, so he has to proceed cautiously, one step at a time. He refers to the results of many researchers, as a scientist must, but for a non-scientist this gets tiresome.

He is absolutely right, however, to do this, because social scientists have sometimes disgraced their profession – without being aware of it in the least. Just by chance, I am also watching the movie Project Nim, about how a chimp was raised as a human, taught to use sign language, only to be abandoned and used in medical research, which killed him. The moral justification for his expensive training program (where he sometimes became violent) was extremely doubtful, and proved nothing.

Page Six, which ends a chapter of the book, ends with this question “Which was more important for our ancestor’s survival: knowing the truth or having a good reputation?” A later sub-heading gives the answer:

We lie, cheat, and justify so well that we honestly believe we are honest.

Being able to impress people is much more important knowing the truth – which is almost irrelevant. The scientists in Project Nim were more interested in impressing other scientists than in knowing the truth. And this is what makes the movie so interesting.

The Profit Principle

I hardly need say anything about this – since it is the principle that makes our world go ’round. Except that recently we have taken a look at it and found it wanting. It is not the only thing in the world, it seems – only a small part of it. Shocking!

Anyone will admit this, reluctantly – but immediately balk at discussing it further. This is one of those things one does not talk about – at least not in polite society.

But behind the Profit Principle (which was basically nothing but greed) there was something even more fundamental – the religious belief that humans were all-important, and they were entitled to more. And even, without too much of a stretch – everything.

This wasn’t too much of a problem when there were not too many of us. But that is no longer the case. The has been so many of us so long that we are running out of everything. Those at the top of the food chain are not too worried – after all their problem is too much food, not too little. But they are beginning to worry about gasoline.

And something else – jobs. They no longer grow on trees.

Complexity in Social Worlds

This topic forms a chapter in the book Complex Adaptive Systems. Here is the opening paragraph, on page 27:

We see complicated social worlds all around us. The being said, is there something more to this complication? In traditional social science, the usual proposition is that by reducing complicated systems to the their constituent parts, and fully understanding each part, we will then be able to understand the word. While this sounds obvious, is this really correct?

Is it the case that understanding the parts of the world will give us insight into the whole? If the parts of the world are really independent from each other, then even when we aggregate them with should be able to predict and understand such “complicated” systems.

As the parts begin to connect with one another and interact more, however, the scientific underpinnings of the approach begin to fail, and we move from the realm of complication to complexity, and reduction no longer gives us insight into construction.

He then goes on to consider if social behavior is complex – a point I already take for granted. He asks these questions:

  • How much agent sophistication is required?
  • How much heterogeneity?
  • What about social niche construction?
  • The role of control?

These are all huge questions, and I am not satisfied that Complexity Theory is capable of answering them. It overlooks too many basic issues, such as greed and destructiveness – which hardly require any theory at all.

And of course, people’s refusal to consider any theories whatsoever.

The Renaissance and Humanism

I have been immensely impressed by Bruno Latour. I am a natural hero-worshiper - but I am now assessing him more carefully.

For him, modernity began with the Scientific Revolution. Which, as any historian of Science will admit – never happened. Latour describes what did happen better than anyone else I know. But he ignores what happened just before that.

What happened were three earth-shaking events – the Renaissance and Humanism that began in Italy. And the Reformation that began in Germany and Switzerland.

The Reformation produced religious wars, the worst that had ever been seen in Europe. And these produced (in a very strange way) Modernity, and Science – and eventually the Industrial Revolution, which was real.

Southern Europe (and Latin America) were not touched by the Reformation. And remained undeveloped – and poor. France remained a special case, but never became Protestant.

Latour (a Frenchman) never goes into these series of events – the Renaissance and Humanism, which were very human. And the religious wars and their impact (including technologies) – that made people less human. He fails to make this very important contrast.

He has a lot of company. We have forgotten our human past. And we have no intention of remembering it.

The Doxa of Science

I am slowly working my way through Latour’s We Have Never Been Modern – a very dense work that I will try to lighten up for you.

I have also wondered what the Modern World was, but didn’t get much help in understanding it. The thinkers of the world seem to have avoided the subject. Not Latour, he is perfectly willing to come up with his own theories – even though they are nothing like anyone else’s.

I want to give you a feel for his writing, and section 2.10 The Power of the Modern Critique does this:

The Laws of Nature allowed the first Enlightenment thinkers to demolish the ill-founded pretensions of human prejudice. Applying this new critical tool, they no longer saw anything but hybrids of old but illegitimate mixtures that they had to purify by separating natural mechanisms  from human passions, interests, or ignorance. All the ideas of yesteryear, one after the other, became inept or approximate.

The obscurity of the olden days, which illegitimately blended together social needs and natural realilty, meanings and mechanisms, signs and things, gave way to a luminous dawn that clearly separated material causality from human fantasy. The natural sciences at last defined what Nature was, and each new emerging scientific discipline was experienced as a total revolution by means of which it was finally liberated from its prescientific past, from its Old Regime.

Anyone who has felt the beauty of this dawn and thrilled to its promises is modern.

People are no longer thrilled by this – and he goes on to explain why. His reasoning here is not as satisfying as mine. I see a flip into opposite social values – into a destruction of the Modern World, even as technology advanced at a rapid pace. This extremely pessimistic viewpoint is not attractive (to say the least) and I am the only one who has it.

But let us return to the beginning of the Modern World. From page 18:

Boyle and his colleagues abandoned the certainties of apodictic reasoning in favor of a doxa.

This send me to the Merriam-Webster Unabridged for apodictic:

expressing necessary truth : absolutely certain <categories of human action … are apodictic and absolute and do not admit of any gradation — Alfred Sherrard>

This type of reasoning goes back to Aristotle, and was the type of reasoning used in the Middle Ages. Modern science did not use this, it used a doxa.

The dictionary had no definition for doxa, but Wikipedia did:

Doxa (from ancient Greek δόξα from δοκεῖν dokein, “to expect”, “to seem”[1]) is a Greek word meaning common belief or popular opinion, from which are derived the modern terms of orthodoxy[2]and heterodoxy.[3]

You might want to read the rest of this definition, as it goes into its special meanings in the New Testament.

Latour:

Instead of seeking to ground his work in logic, mathematics or rhetoric, Boyle relied on a parajuridical metaphor: creditable, trustworthy, well-to-do witnesses gathered at the scene of the action can attest to the existence of a fact, even if they do not know its true nature.

Note his specification of well-to-do witnesses. Science, as well as politics, was still the domain of men of property – as it still is, for that matter.

Let me bring that up to date, with the latest discoveries of the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). This technique – smashing particles together to break them apart and find out what they are made of – has a built-in problem. These subatomic particles come in bundles (such as hadrons) and when they break apart all hell breaks loose. Extremely sophisticated detectors are used in combinations to try to figure out what goes on in very short time periods. And the results are incredible amounts of data that have to be sorted through very quickly.

The first observers are a huge bank of computers that sort through the enormous data stream, looking for something significant. These computers have been programmed by teams of international experts to do just this.

After trillions of collisions a pattern begins to emerge from all the noise of everything else going on. The experts then have to examine these conclusions more carefully, and form a consensus among themselves. Finally, a press conference is called to announce the results to the public – who has paid for this extremely expensive experiment.

They are disappointed to find the scientists expressing themselves so carefully. Much more work will be necessary, they say, before anything useful may emerge.

This process is the same one developed by Robert Boyle in the 17th Century. Except that it takes much longer.

And instead of people being thrilled – they are disgusted.

The Testimony of Nonhumans

This is more Latour, whose thinking fascinates me, but few others. You may want to be like them, and skip this posting.

His basic point is that nonhumans have had a big impact on humans. And we have been negligent in our treatment of them.

Here he is speaking of Boyle’s experiments on making a vacuum and in determining the weight of the Air. The Air, he says, was talking to us – and all we had to do was listen to it properly. But this required that we build machines to create a vacuum – which would allow the Air to speak. It was many years before this exotic machinery became part of a network that would allow us to predict the weather.

From page 23 of his We Have Never Been Modern, I have taken the liberty of simplifying his terminology:

Here we witness the intervention of a new actor: inert bodies, incapable of will and bias but capable of showing, signing, writing, and scribbling on laboratory instruments before trustworthy witnesses. These nonhumans, lacking souls, but endowed with meaning, are even more reliable than ordinary mortals, to whom will is attributed but who lack the capacity to indicate phenomena in a reliable way. In case of doubt, humans are better off appealing to nonhumans. Endowed with their new semiotic powers (the power to give meaning), the latter contribute to a new form of text…

This had a huge effect on politics (of all things) which was obsessed with the problem of the religious wars which were killing everyone at the time.

The result was the Modern World – which involved some strange beliefs we have never questioned adequately, because they seemed to work so well – because they made us affluent.

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 363 other followers